The Fed’s Fork: Why Bitcoin’s 38% Probability Only Tells Half the Story
The numbers are stark. 38% probability of a 25bp hike. 62% probability of a...
Research
•
0xLeo
•
2026-07-30
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$64,439.8 | +1.11% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,874.23 | +0.52% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$74.19 | +0.49% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$601.7 | +1.78% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.07 | -0.23% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0702 | -0.31% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1927 | -0.16% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.69 | -1.69% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8587 | +2.25% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.18 | -0.30% |
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
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All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$64,439.8
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,874.23
1
Solana
SOL
$74.19
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$601.7
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.07
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0702
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1927
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.69
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8587
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.18
🐋 Whale Tracker
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1d ago
Out
3,541.45 BTC
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12h ago
Stake
1,113 ETH
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12m ago
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2,169 ETH
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Early Investor
-$4.9M
68%
0x749f...b528
Early Investor
+$2.9M
72%
0xff34...3056
Institutional Custody
+$4.5M
60%
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Regulation
•
CryptoBear
•
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