#Kalshi

Three data points. That's all Stage 1 produced. A probability: 60%. A subject...

Late Tuesday, a number flashed on a Kalshi event contract and did exactly wha...

Here is the anomaly the headline writers skipped. Bitcoin printed a fresh hig...

The CEO of Binance.US confirmed in August that the exchange will file for a...

New York State just filed a lawsuit that could cap Kalshi’s valuation at zero...

The data suggests we are misreading the most significant compliance signal of...

In August, the CEO of Binance.US told reporters the exchange would file a...

The Docket Uniswap V2 moved the needle. Here's how — not on a blockchain, but...

The market isn't bullish; it's leveraged to the brink of its own illusion. On...

The exploit vector wasn't a smart contract bug. It was a human with a securit...

The data shows that on March 11, 2025, a White House teleprompter operator...

The market didn’t see it coming. But a White House teleprompter operator did....

Scanning the mempool for ghosts in the machine — I saw the order flow anomaly...

A federal judge in Minnesota just handed Kalshi and Polymarket a temporary...

Hook On October 19, 2024, a federal judge in Minnesota issued a preliminary...

Trace the logic gates back to the genesis block. That's where the real story...

The August 1st deadline was averted by a judicial order as fragile as the cod...

On July 24, the CFTC dropped Staff Letter 26-22. The message was surgical: st...

On July 28, 2024, a federal judge in Minnesota issued a ruling that will echo...

On July 24, the CFTC dropped Staff Letter 26-22. A warning shot. Template-sty...

A quiet alarm bell is ringing in prediction markets, and few are listening....

Polymarket's "Clarity Act Passes" contract is pricing odds at 34%. That's a...

The July 22 hearing was a spectacle of jurisdictional theater. CFTC Chairman...

The pitch deck is a fiction. The code is the reality. This week delivered two...

The market is rarely wrong, but it is often incomplete. Last week, Tom Lee,...

The lever snapped at Movement Labs on a Tuesday afternoon that felt like any...

I don’t trust the current pricing on Polymarket’s Clarity Act contract. Not...

July 22, 2024, I sat in a London co-working space, listening to a live stream...

The numbers are stark. Kalshi dropped $990,000 on lobbying in the first half ...

Kalshi dropped $990,000 on lobbying in the first half of this year. That's...

Note that Kalshi, a platform built to bet on election outcomes and weather...

The final whistle had barely faded when the numbers hit my terminal. Polymark...

What if the most impressive statistic of this World Cup isn't a goal, but a...

Hook Three million users. $1.2 billion in notional volume. And one $1.5 milli...

Hook The market doesn't care about your narrative. Kalshi—a CFTC-regulated...

The rumor surfaced like a faint crack in the quiet afternoon glass — Meta, th...