The 13.5% Probability That Broke the News: How a Prediction Market Became a Geopolitical Rumor
A single number — 13.5% — just hijacked the crypto narrative for a few hours....
Trends
•
Neotoshi
•
2026-07-20
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$63,068.7 | +0.49% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,884.13 | +0.51% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$75.45 | +0.04% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$611 | +0.98% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1 | -0.25% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0700 | +0.32% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1785 | +0.06% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.55 | +2.53% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.7767 | +2.08% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$9.44 | +7.02% |
Fear & Greed
34
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202608
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$63,068.7
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,884.13
1
Solana
SOL
$75.45
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$611
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0700
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1785
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.55
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.7767
1
Chainlink
LINK
$9.44
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x054e...44aa
1h ago
In
7,915 BNB
🟢
0x7a09...bbb2
5m ago
In
15,202 BNB
🔵
0x2514...e956
6h ago
Stake
980,993 USDT
💡 Smart Money
0xdf55...a788
Market Maker
+$2.2M
84%
0xede0...34cc
Early Investor
+$5.0M
66%
0xbd83...c99a
Top DeFi Miner
+$3.0M
88%
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