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Fear & Greed

29

Fear

Market Sentiment

Event Calendar

{{年份}}
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04
upgrade Celestia Mainnet Upgrade

Improves data availability sampling efficiency

08
04
upgrade Solana Firedancer

Independent validator client goes live on mainnet

22
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Circulating supply increases by about 2%

10
05
upgrade Ethereum Pectra Upgrade

Raises validator limit and account abstraction

12
05
halving BCH Halving

Block reward halving event

28
03
unlock Arbitrum Token Unlock

92 million ARB released

18
03
unlock Sui Token Unlock

Team and early investor shares released

15
04
halving Bitcoin Halving

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Altseason Index

43

Bitcoin Season

BTC Dominance Altseason

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Bitcoin
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🐋 Whale Tracker

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0xb121...cba1
12h ago
Out
37,799 BNB
🟢
0xf507...ce03
12h ago
In
23,293 SOL
🔵
0x55a8...499d
12h ago
Stake
4,555.23 BTC

💡 Smart Money

0xea63...4209
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-$1.4M
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0x71fc...c921
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0x9be6...bd8d
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61%

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Trends

The $41.9 Million Goodbye: How Core Scientific’s Exit Exposes Bitcoin Mining’s Existential Pivot

CryptoLeo
Watching the ledger breathe beneath the noise, the true story of Block’s failed 3nm mining chip is not about hardware—it’s about the quiet, ruthless logic of capital. On the surface, the numbers are clean: Core Scientific, once the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miner in the US, terminated its contract with Block (Jack Dorsey’s company) for the Proto mining chips, paying a $41.9 million penalty. The chips were 3nm, the most advanced process node ever applied to Bitcoin mining. They promised 15 exahash of computing power. They were supposed to challenge Bitmain’s decades-old dominance. But beneath the surface, this is not a story of technical failure. It is a story of economic gravity. Core Scientific didn’t walk away because the chips didn’t work—they walked away because the chips didn’t make sense in a world where AI data centers offer a 15-year, $140 billion revenue stream, and Bitcoin mining margins are thinning with each halving. Let me trace the shadow of value across borders. In 2020, during DeFi Summer, I sat in a Singaporean WeWork modeling risk for a protocol integrating with Aave. I watched TVL balloon while stablecoin health deteriorated. I learned then that capital flows are not attracted to innovation—they are attracted to the highest risk-adjusted return. Today, that return sits in a AMD-powered AI cluster, not in a mining rig. Volatility is just truth seeking equilibrium. Core Scientific’s decision is a perfect case study. The company had already emerged from bankruptcy in early 2024. We the protocol remembers what the user forgets: that chapter 11 is a reset button, not a death sentence. Management, led by CEO Adam Sullivan, saw the writing on the wall. They paid $41.9 million to walk away from a contract signed less than a year prior. That is a staggering vote of no confidence. If the Proto chips were even marginally competitive—if they could generate, say, 5% better efficiency than Bitmain’s S21 Pro—Core would have kept them. Instead, they chose to cut losses, redeploy capital, and sign a long-term lease with AMD for AI compute. To understand why, you have to look at the macro liquidity map. Bitcoin mining is a commoditized energy arbitrage. The only differentiators are electricity cost, chip efficiency, and scale. Bitmain and MicroBT control over 90% of the ASIC market. Their supply chains are mature, their aftermarket service is proven. Block, for all its brand power, was a newcomer trying to muscle into a game where incumbents have a 10-year head start. The 3nm process node sounds impressive, but without a massive order book, the foundry costs (likely from TSMC) would have destroyed unit economics. Core Scientific, as the only confirmed large customer, would have borne that risk. Meanwhile, the AI boom offers a fundamentally different value proposition. Data center leases are long-term, often with built-in price escalators. They are less sensitive to Bitcoin’s 80% drawdowns. Core’s pivot—from mining to HPC leasing—is not just a strategic shift; it is a survival mechanism. And it works. The company now has a pipeline of $140 billion in potential revenue from AMD alone. Compare that to the uncertain, volatile stream of block rewards. The choice is rational. Yet the contrarian angle is that this is not a death knell for Bitcoin mining as a whole. It is a correction. Mining will not disappear; it will become more concentrated among those who can source the cheapest energy and the most efficient chips. Core’s exit from Block’s chip program is a signal that the era of “everyone can be a miner” is over. The chip market is bifurcating: Bitmain and MicroBT will dominate high-volume production, while boutique players (like Auradine or Block) will struggle to find buyers. The real battle is for access to subsidized energy. In Texas, for example, miners who can curtail quickly during grid stress are earning more from demand response programs than from actual mining. That is a subtle but important shift: mining becomes a service to the grid, not just to the network. Silence in the blockchain is a loud statement. The silence from Block’s leadership is deafening. They have not addressed the Core termination beyond a brief statement. Meanwhile, Jack Dorsey’s crypto empire is crumbling: Tidal was written down, TBD shuttered, Bitchat abandoned, and Bitkey never gained traction. The Cash App paid hundreds of millions in fines for fraud. The man who promised to decentralize everything is now presiding over a centralized mess. The irony is not lost. What does this mean for the average holder? For those who own Bitcoin, it is a reminder that mining is a business, not a religion. Hashrate will likely continue to grow, but at a slower pace, as resources shift to AI. For those who own mining stocks, the lesson is clear: diversify or die. The miners that will survive are those that are already building AI data centers—like Core Scientific, Riot, and Marathon. The pure-play miners will be squeezed. Tracing the shadow of value across borders, I see capital flowing not just from mining to AI, but from public blockchains to private cloud services. This is not a crisis; it is a market clearing. The signal is clean: when the largest corporate Bitcoin miner says “I’d rather pay $41.9 million than use your chips,” the market has spoken. Between the code and the conscience lies the gap. The code of Bitcoin’s monetary policy is immutable. But the conscience of its miners is not. They will follow profit. And profit, right now, is in Shanghai, not Satoshi. We minted souls but forgot the container.

The $41.9 Million Goodbye: How Core Scientific’s Exit Exposes Bitcoin Mining’s Existential Pivot

The $41.9 Million Goodbye: How Core Scientific’s Exit Exposes Bitcoin Mining’s Existential Pivot